The Dawn

News digest of the prophetic Sunrise in the East

Declining India-China relations: Is war inevitable?

An Indian Air force jet mysteriously exploded in mid air in South Tibet renamed Arunchal Pradesh by Bharat (aka India). South Tibet is Chinese territory which is occupied by Bharat remains a sore point of contention between Delhi and Beijing. India has recently been very provocative towards China. The bellicose statements out of Delhi have exacerbated the relations. What is worse, is the fact that the Indian Air Force had placed some of its planes in Tezpur and other bases right near the McMohon line. Delhi has also provoked Beijing my There are some reports that the IAF plane was shot down after straying into China or near the border.

NEW DELHI, May 24, 2009 (Hindustan Times – McClatchy-Tribune Information Services via COMTEX) — Taking China’s dramatic military expansion seriously, the Indian Air Force chief has said China poses a more real and potent threat to India than Pakistan…

The entire area is up in revolt against India. Assam wants its independence as do the “Seven Sisters“, the states East of Bangladesh. The plane could have been shot by any of the multiple militants working the area. The Naxalites or the Maoists could have acquired the technology to blow up the IAF planes.

…sore point between the two countries is a series of supposed Chinese border incursions in Arunachal Pradesh in recent years.

“To develop India’s capability to effectively meet future security challenges, the deployment of more troops along the India- China border is necessary,” The Arunachal Governor is a former head of the Indian army, General J. J. Singh.

Arunchal PradeshSouth Tibet remains a huge territorial dispute between China and India.  Arunachal Pradesh means “land of the dawn-lit mountains” or “land of rising sun.” South Tibet  is located in the northeast corner of the India and bordered on the north by the Tibet region of China and on the east by Myanmar. The dipute began long before the Indo-Chinese War in late 1962. This region acquired an independent political status in January 20th, 1972, when it was declared as Union Territory, an administrative division of India ruled directly by the national government, under the name of Arunachal Pradesh. The state of Arunachal Pradesh Bill was passed by the Indian Parliament in 1986 and with effect from February 20th, 1987; Arunachal Pradesh became the 24th state of Indian Union. Even though Arunachal Pradesh is administrated by India as a state, China still claims most of it as a part of the Tibet Autonomous Region.

…aircraft becoming operational by next week at Tezpur air base in Assam. Eighteen Sukhois in total will be deployed.  There are also plans to build more facilities in the region, including four to five airfields.

Then, over the next few years, two Army divisions with between 25,000 and 30,000 troops each would be moved into place opposite the 3,500km- long border with China, along with artillery, medical, signal and engineering units.  Officers who took part in the Indian war games said a clash with India was entirely possible, with Beijing trying to position itself as the pre-eminent power in the region.

The new force dispositions were aimed at “enhancing the capabilities of the Army troopers to effectively meet any sort of challenges”, Gen Singh said.India to boost forces at China border. Thu, Jun 11, 2009, The Statesman/Asia News Network

Bharat sees China as a major threat along the McMahon line.

The wreckage of an Indian Air Force AN-32 aircraft that went missing yesterday after taking off from an advanced landing ground (ALG) in Mechuka in Arunachal Pradesh was found on Wednesday afternoon along a remote mountainside by a ground search party. All 13 on board are dead — the IAF said there were no survivors and two villagers claimed they had seen the plane exploding in mid-air.

McMahon LineThe IAF Eastern Command in Shillong released the names of seven IAF crew members and six Army personnel who died in the mishap: Wing Commander Gitesh Jit Singh Butalia, Wing Commander P K Saji, Squadron Leader P Siddharth, Squadron Leader Manash Mishra, Flight Lieutenant Varun Kumar, Master Warrant Officer Ramesh, Aircraft Attendant Sanjay Kumar, Gunners V Singh, K Kumar, S Kumar, Naik B S Nanwhegh, Sepoy A K Tirkey and Radio Mechanic R Wangchuk.

The aircraft was being captained by Wing Commander ‘Boots’ Butalia (36), an experienced transport pilot based in Jorhat. IAF officers said he had reported for work after a family vacation in Sikkim. He leaves behind his wife Vaishali and twin boys who turned seven recently. His mother, a school teacher in Chandigarh, was visiting the family in Jorhat and had to be taken to hospital after she learnt of the crash. His father, late Wing Commander N J S Butalia, too was a transport pilot. Indian Express

The Sixty Four thousand Dollar question is, “did the Chinese shoot down the plane”. Even if there is the remotest possibility that the India plane steered North of the red line, then there is the serious possibility of of an international escalation. Obviously both countries will downplay the incident and deny any wrongdoing. However the Indians now know that the red line has been drawn.

NEW DELHI – India is significantly upgrading its military prowess along the border it shares with China, deploying two army divisions along with a squadron of top-of-the-line Sukhoi Su-30MKI warplanes at a critical base in the north-east.

Three Awacs command-and-control aircraft will also be deployed to boost India’s ability to track troop and equipment movements on the Chinese side of the border.

The strengthening of the Indian posture at the border follows recent Indian war games predicated on a Chinese offensive. One conclusion from the exercise, upending the conventional wisdom in New Delhi, was that China was capable of launching an attack very swiftly on India, with no warning. India to boost forces at China border. Thu, Jun 11, 2009, The Statesman/Asia News Network

The exploding Indian plane may or may not have been an accident. However it will expedite India’s concerns along its Northern borders.

NEW DELHI – India is significantly upgrading its military prowess along the border it shares with China, deploying two army divisions along with a squadron of top-of-the-line Sukhoi Su-30MKI warplanes at a critical base in the north-east.

Three Awacs command-and-control aircraft will also be deployed to boost India’s ability to track troop and equipment movements on the Chinese side of the border. The strengthening of the Indian posture at the border follows recent Indian war games predicated on a Chinese offensive. One conclusion from the exercise, upending the conventional wisdom in New Delhi, was that China was capable of launching an attack very swiftly on India, with no warning. India to boost forces at China border. Thu, Jun 11, 2009, The Statesman/Asia News Network

Filed under: China, India , , ,

10 Responses

  1. Hary Nambiar says:

    The extent of your hatred for India is unbelievable.

    • Moin Ansari says:

      There is no hatred. We believe in ecumenical camaraderie. You may dislike the content because you have not seen it before. We simply bring you the news that you do not get from the triumphantalist Bharati media. We believe in acrimony towards none and harmony with all. We criticize all countries of the world, US, UK, China, Pakistan, Bangladesh, and may we ask why Bharat should be an exception.

  2. Hary Nambiar says:

    Moin, Why do you use the word Bharat? We rarely use it! We use India. You can e mail me so that our little quarrel do not startle the public.

    • Moin Ansari says:

      Thank you for your comment. “India” has many meanings and designates the “British Indian Empire”, The “French Indian Empire”, the “Dutch Indian Empire”, the “Danish Indian Empire” and the “Swedish Indian Empire”, the “Portuguese Indian Empire”. For each of the colonial powers, “India” had very different meanings and a different geography. At its peak Britian owned only about 40% of South Asia, the rest belonged to the 570 states. French India included Laos, Cambodia and Vietnam. Dutch India included Indonesia (INDO-Nesia) and so on and so forth.

      http://www.zimbio.com/Bhutan/articles/714/There+no+partition+independence+British+not

      The constitutional name is “Bharat” which designates the independent country after 1947. The constitution says “Inidia” in English. Jinnah had a fit when he found out that Bharat was going to use “India” as the name. Pakistanis use Bharat to designate its neighbor. For Bharat to claim all of the Pre-1947 intellectual capital of South Asia is disingenuous, morally incorrect and legally dishonest.

      Pakistan is the latest avatar of the Indus Valley Civilization which was Non-Hindu.

      Dr. Ambedkar discusses Swaraj and quotes Mr. Savarkar.

      Firstly, the retention of the name Hindustan as the proper name for “lndia”.

      “The name “Hindustan” must continue to be the appellation of our country. Such other names as India, Hind, etc., being derived from the same original word Sindhu may be used but only to signify the same sense—the land of the Hindus, a country which is the abode of the Hindu Nation. Aryavarta, Bharat-Bhumi and such other names are of course the ancient and the most cherished epithets of our Mother Land and will continue to appeal to the cultured elite. In this insistence that the Mother Land of the Hindus must be called but “Hindustan,” no encroachment or humiliation is implied in connection with any of our non-Hindu countrymen. Our Parsee and Christian countrymen are already too akin to us culturally and .arc too patriotic and the Anglo-indians too sensible to refuse to fall in line with us Hindus on so legitimate a ground. So far as our Moslem countrymen are concerned it is useless to conceal the fact that some of them are already inclined to look upon this molehill also as an insuperable mountain in their way to Hindu-Moslem unity. But they should remember that the Moslems do not dwell only in India nor are the Indian Moslems the only heroic remnants of the Faithful in Islam. China has crores of Moslems. Greece, Palestine and even Hungary and Poland have thousands of Moslems amongst their nationals. But being there a minority, only a community, their existence in these countries has never been advanced as a ground to change the ancient names of these countries which indicate the abodes of those races whose overwhelming majority owns the land. The country of the Poles continues to be Poland and of the Grecians as Greece.

      The Moslems there did not or dared not to distort them but are quite content to distinguish themselves as Polish Moslems or Grecian Moslems or Chinese Moslems when occasion arises, so also our Moslem countrymen may distinguish themselves nationally or territorially whenever they want, as “Hindustance Moslems” without compromising in the least their separateness as Religious or Cultural entity. Nay, the Moslems have been calling themselves as “Hindustanis” ever since their advent in India, of their own accord. “But if in spite of it all some irascible Moslem sections amongst our countrymen object even to this name of our Country, that is no reason why we should play cowards to our own conscience. We Hindus must not betray or break up the continuity of our Nation from the Sindhus in Rigvedic days to the Hindus of our own generation which is implied in “Hindustan,” the accepted appellation of our Mother Land. Just as the land of the Germans is Germany, of the English England, of the Turks Turkistan, of the Afghans Afghanistan—even so we must have it indelibly impressed on the map of the earth for all times to come a “Hindustan”—the land of the “Hindus.”

  3. Hary Nambiar says:

    I am glad that I am discussing a non-issue with some one who seems to have done some reading. I agree with you that various ignorant people had various ideas about India. For example, people in the American continents (North and South) the word Indian is still used to describe the native people. However, I wonder if you realize that long before you all began reading that “Holy Book” of yours, people coexisted on both sides of the Indus River without as much hatred as is seen in the writings of your journals and newspapers these days. About 22 years ago, Pakistanis and Indians (me for example) used to smile at each other and did not feel much different. His four year old son used to walk all the way from his house half a mile away to play with my son, two years old at that time. Apparently, children of that age group in the neighborhood did not play with him. When the lady went to work at 6.00 A.M., she left her six year old girl in my house so that the school bus could pick her up at 7.00 A.M. She did not see it appropriate to leave her in one of the forty houses in between. This continued for two years. I wonder if they would have liked us knocking at their door at 6.00 A.M. Both our families moved away and did not keep in touch. I don’t believe that such social relationship exists now between both these communities. These days I see that both parties look the other way with an attitude of (whatever). It was only by chance that I got to look at your web site. Every now and then I look at various online sites from Pakistan. I don’t believe that I am mistaken about this feeling that I see of lack of civility about India in those sites. I see that on the face of your sportsmen too. It makes me wonder if the time and resources spent to maintain diplomatic relations with you people is worthwhile. I have to recognize the fact that you have your friends elsewhere and that you don’t see us in that category. However, we will continue this wasteful effort because we consider it our sacred duty to live in peace. Anyway, best of luck to you.

  4. Haris Sultan says:

    Well Im sorry I cant agree with you as you again have left a major clause out i.e. Indian media and general population bashing Pakistan.
    Please accept that it happens more on Indian side than on Pakistan side. Every blog I visit theres always some Indian bashing Pakistan. Before the internet boom I didnt think India had so much hatred for Pakistan. I agree Pakistanis try their best to bash India as well but I see that more like a retribution. What has now even surprised me more is the attitude of so called decent Indian people in August gathering when our ex-president Musharraf went there. If a civilezed, well-educated Indian crowd holds that much hatred against Pakistan than what can we expect from majority of illeterate & poor Indian population?

  5. Hary Nambiar says:

    Do I sound like a Pakistan hater, gentlemen?

  6. Randomguy says:

    This article has serious flaws! It represents just one side of the story (the Chinese side). It puts into question the judgment of the writer. The article conveniently ignores Chinese support for Pakistan, Burma and Sri Lanka (infrastructure, military aid and social investments). It is the equivalent of India becoming a staunch ally of Taiwan and supporting them in all possible ways, wouldn’t that upset China? Don’t get me wrong here, I am not suggesting India is a peace loving country being victimized by China. They are both at fault.

    However, my personal opinion is that there is a serious lack of understanding between the two countries. China’s government and social setup is engineered to ensure stability and as a consequence, is not equipped to deal with dissent / opposition in a diplomatic way. On the other hand, India’s founding principle is based on chaos, pluralism and opposing views. Both have their advantages and disadvantages, but what is more important is that they don’t misunderstand each other, which is exactly what is happening.

  7. Diganta says:

    I am surprised that you accepted Tibet as Chinese territory :) at the beginning of your assumption. Arunachal is a non-issue between India and China. BTW, there won’t be any war … you seem to like the settlement of disputes in warfront, something that I don’t.

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